Publications and reports of Alistair Gray

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Publications

  1. Gray, A.G., Haslett, S.J. and Kuzmicich, G.S. (2002) Confidence intervals for proportions estimated from complex sample designs. Submitted to the Journal of Official Statistics
  2. Gray, A.G. and Thomson, P.J. (2002) On a family of moving-average trend filters for the ends of series Journal of Forecasting 21 125-149
  3. Gray, A.G. and Thomson, P.J. (2000) Trend estimation at the ends of series using adaptive semi-parametric local dynamic models. Invited paper. Proceedings of the International Conference on Establishment Surveys, Buffalo, USA, 769-779.
  4. Gray, A.G. and Thomson, P.J. (2000) Invited commentary on the session Current Topics in Seasonal Adjustment in the Proceedings of the International Conference on Establishment Surveys, Buffalo, USA, 765-767.
  5. Walker, S. Ross, J. and Gray A.G. (1999) Participation in sport and active leisure by New Zealand children and adolescents. Journal of Physical Education New Zealand 32(1) 4-8
  6. Gray, A.G. and Thomson, P.J. (1996) On a family of moving-average trend filters for the ends of series. Invited paper. Proceedings of Section on Survey Research Methods, American Statistical Association, 100-109.
  7. Gray, A.G. and Thomson, P.J. (1996) Design of moving-average trend filters using fidelity and smoothness criteria. In Lecture Notes in Statistics 115 'Athens Conference on Applied Probability and Time Series. Volume II: Time Series Analysis in Memory of E.J. Hannan' (ed. P.M. Robinson and M. Rosenblatt), 205-219.
  8. Gray, A.G. and Thomson, P.J. (1996) Design of moving-average trend filters using fidelity, smoothness and minimum revisions criteria. Research Report CENSUS/SRD/RR-96/1, Statistical Research Division, Bureau of the Census, Washington D.C. 20233-4200, 1-99.
  9. Cullen, R.J. and Gray, A.G. (1996) A method for taking a reliable statistical sample of reference enquiries in a large New Zealand Public Library System. Journal of Library Administration 22 1, 113-123.
  10. Gray, A.G. and Thomson, P.J. (1994) Design of moving-average trend filters using fidelity and smoothness criteria. Proceedings of Business and Economic Statistics Section, American Statistical Association, 157-162.
  11. Gray, A.G. and P.J. Thomson (1990) Invited commentary on `STL: a seasonal-trend decomposition procedure based on loess' by R.B. Cleveland et al. Journal of Official Statistics 6, 1, 47-54.
  12. Gray, A.G (1984) Estimating accumulated permanent and long term migration of the 5-13 age group. Mathematical Statistics Branch, Department of Statistics, Working Paper 1984/8.
  13. Gray, A.G (1984) Orders and Payments Projections Mathematical Statistics Branch, Department of Statistics, Working Paper 1984/7.
  14. Gray, A.G (1984) Easter Adjustment for the Retail Trade Mathematical Statistics Branch, Department of Statistics, Working Paper 1984/5.
  15. Gray, A.G (1977) Topological Methods in Second Order Intuitionistic Arithmetic. Department of Mathematics, University of Canterbury Research Reports 6.

Conference papers

  1. (2000) Confidence Intervals for proportions estimated from complex sample designs (with S.J. Haslett and G.S. Kuzmicich). New Zealand Statistical Association Conference.
  2. (2000) Trend estimation at the ends of series using adaptive semi-parametric local dynamic models (with P.J. Thomson). Invited paper. International Conference on Establishment Surveys
  3. (2000) Commentary on the session Current Topics in Seasonal Adjustment (with P.J. Thomson). International Conference on Establishment Surveys
  4. (1999) PAYE data: a case for data mining? 50th New Zealand Statistical Association Conference.
  5. (1996) On a family of moving-average trend filters for the ends of series (with P. J. Thomson). 156th Annual Meeting of the American Statistical Association.
  6. (1996) On a family of moving-average trend filters for the ends of series (with P.J. Thomson). Sydney International Statistical Congress.
  7. (1995) Design of central moving-average trend filters (with P.J. Thomson). A.C. Aitken Centenary Conference held in Dunedin, New Zealand.
  8. (1995) Design of moving-average trend filters at the ends of series (with P.J Thomson). US Bureau of the Census Seasonal Adjustment Workshop.
  9. (1992) Design of filters for seasonal adjustment (with P.J. Thomson). International Workshop on Seasonal Adjustment Method and Diagnostics held at the US Bureau of the Census.
  10. (1987) Seasonal adjustment of New Zealand's overseas balance of payments series: experiences with X11, SABL and BAYSEA (with P.J. Thomson). New Zealand Statistical Association Conference.
  11. (1986) An iterated logarithm law for ARIMA Models (1986). Conference on Current Issues in Econometrics and Time Series Analysis, jointly organized by the New Zealand Association of Economists and the New Zealand Statistical Association.
  12. (1985) An iterated logarithm law for ARIMA Models. 1st Pacific Statistical Congress: joint meeting of the IMS, SSA and NZSA.
  13. (1984) Easter adjustment for the Retail Trade. New Zealand Statistical Association Conference.

Consulting reports

  1. Gray, A.G (2002) Audit of weighting in Living Standards of New Zealanders report. Prepared for Ministry of Social Development.
  2. Gray, A.G. and Sutton F. (2001) Survival analysis on notifications. Client report prepared for Child, Youth and Family and the Ministry of Social Development.
  3. Barwick, H., Gray A.G. and Macky R. (2001) Options for collecting information on the transition from formal tertiary education into the workforce: a scoping paper. Prepared for Department of Labour.
  4. Gray, A.G (2001) Statistical Review of Drug Testing Regime. Prepared for Department of Corrections.
  5. Gray, A.G (2001) Review of Market Assessment Model. Prepared for Tourism New Zealand.
  6. Gray, A.G (2001) Review of Proposed Analysis of Sickness Benefit/Invalid Benefit Demonstration Project. Prepared for Ministry of Social Policy.
  7. Gray, A.G (2000) Sport and Physical Activity Survey: Comparison of Design Effects for the 97/98 and 98/99 data prepared for the Hillary Commission.
  8. Gray, A.G (1999) Preliminary Analysis of the Costing Survey. Prepared for Presbyterian Support Central.
  9. Gray, A.G (1999) Sampling Profiles: Preliminary Methodology. Prepared for the Marketplace Company.
  10. Gray, A.G and Thomson, P.J. (1997) Comments on "The Treatment of Seasonal Commodities in the Consumers Price Index". Prepared by the New Zealand CPI Advisory Committee.
  11. Smith, P.J. and Gray, A.G. (1997) Review of the Draft Report: "Impact Evaluation of Customized Service". Prepared for the Business Information Group Income Support.
  12. Gray, A. G. (1997) 1996 Sport and Physical Activity Survey Sample Errors: Analysis prepared for the Hillary Commission.
  13. Gray, A.G. (1997) External review of the Manufacturing Business Practices Survey. Prepared for Statistics New Zealand.
  14. Gray, A.G. and Thomson, P.J. (1997) Comments on a trend analysis of Petrol Importer Margins. Prepared for BP Oil New Zealand Limited.
  15. Gray, A. G. (1997) Random Sampling Processes to support Public Prison Drug testing Strategy. Prepared for Department of Corrections.
  16. Gray, A.G. (1997) Evaluation of 1997 Sport, Physical and Arts Survey tenders. Prepared for the Hillary Commission and Creative New Zealand.
  17. Gray, A.G. (1996) Design and Analysis of Trans-shipment data for the Kyung Dong 703 Initial Report. Prepared for the Ministry of Fisheries.
  18. Dawkins, B.P., Gray A.G., and Gresham, D. (1995) Preliminary Analysis of Land Transport Safety Authority's Survey of Clients, prepared for the Land Transport Safety Authority.
  19. Gray, A.G and Thomson, P.J. (1995) Review of the methods used by Statistics New Zealand for the seasonal adjustment of quarterly national accounts. Report commissioned by Statistics New Zealand.
  20. Haslett, S.J., Ige, A. and Gray, A.G (1993) International Mail Mix: estimation system theory. Prepared for New Zealand Post.
  21. Gray, A.G. (1993) Sample Design for detecting error rates in the Optical Character Reader Sorting Machine. Prepared for New Zealand Post.

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